Two things have just happened that we could have seen a mile off.
Events in the Middle East have followed the exact script for "what happens if you attack Iran", a scenario analysts have been predicting for decades.
If you take on the ayatollahs and threaten their future, they will take the gloves off and attack just about everybody. Check.
They will also make it effectively impossible to send shipping through the Strait of Hormuz by sinking tankers and forcing up the price of insurance to intolerable levels. Check.
The price of oil will soar. Gulf allies will warn of an apocalyptic collapse in energy supplies. Economists will predict the sky falling on our heads and a global economic calamity. Check, check, check.
And the pain for an American president facing midterm elections, if he allows them to happen, will just become too great. Check.
Experts have sat in TV studios predicting just that for years with maps and warnings about shutting off the world's jugular.
The second predictable outcome has become a constant of our time. Trump Always Chickens Out.
Robert Armstrong, the man who coined the term the TACO president, wrote in the Financial Times today: "It is, of course, utterly unclear whether the president's comments have anything to do with a change in balance of the war on the ground.
"What they did communicate clearly, to the delight of markets, was that Trump is looking for an exit."
Which is all the Iranian leadership needs to hear.
Trump wants out.
Whether it's this week or next or a bit longer, Iran's government just needs to hang in there.
America and Israel wanted regime change. If it is not changed, they will have failed and Iran's leadership will, rightly or wrongly, declare victory.
They may have lost every warplane and naval ship in their inventory. But they will remain in power, despite the yearning for change among so many of their people who had been promised help was 'on its way' by the US president.
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As for the Iranian nuclear programme, Trump will declare it obliterated. Again.
But as long as Iran has the scientists to rebuild it and the leadership committed to doing so, it can still rise from the ashes like a Persian phoenix.
What do future adversaries learn from all this?
In Beijing, they have been closely watching as they plan to seize Taiwan at some point during Xi Jinping's presidency.
They have a better gauge now of Donald Trump's tolerance for economic pain, a crucial factor as they game the invasion of their neighbour.
A president they always feared as unpredictable and mercurial has arguably become a little less so after what he called his recent "short-term excursion" in the Middle East.
A spokesman for Durham Constabulary said: "A man has been charged with murder following an incident at HMP Frankland in Durham.
"Emergency services were called to reports of an assault in the workshop on the morning of Thursday, February 26.
"Ian Huntley, 52, was taken to hospital with serious injuries but died on the morning of Saturday, March 7.
"Anthony Russell, 43, of HMP Frankland, has been charged with murder and will appear via video link at Newton Aycliffe Magistrates' Court on Wednesday, March 11."
Huntley was convicted of the murders of 10-year-olds Holly Wells and Jessica Chapman in Soham, Cambridgeshire, in 2002.
He killed them after they left a family barbecue to buy sweets, then dumped their bodies in a ditch.
Huntley was convicted of the murder of both girls in December 2003 and sentenced to two terms of life imprisonment.
Christopher Atkinson of the Crown Prosecution Service said: "The Crown Prosecution Service has decided to prosecute Anthony Russell with murder following a police investigation into a fatal attack on Ian Huntley at HMP Frankland.
"Our prosecutors have worked to establish that there is sufficient evidence to bring the case to trial and that it is in the public interest to pursue criminal proceedings.
"We have worked closely with Durham Constabulary as they carried out their investigation."
The magazine's latest rankings, dominated by the tech sector, placed the Tesla and SpaceX boss in the top spot with a net worth of $839bn (£623bn), followed by Google co-founders Larry Page on $257bn and Sergey Brin with $237bn.
Donald Trump also saw his wealth increase by 27% to $6.5bn off the back of his crypto dealings, and after his New York fraud penalty was thrown out, making the US president the world's 645th richest person.
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Forbes's 40th annual world's billionaires list also saw some notable debuts, including rapper Dr Dre ($1bn), singer Beyonce Knowles-Carter ($1bn) and tennis star Roger Federer ($1.1bn).
The 390 newcomers also included Greg Abel ($1bn), Warren Buffett's successor as chief executive of Berkshire Hathaway, Mr Musk's brother Kimbal Musk ($1.4bn), and former vice-presidential candidate, and Mr Brin's ex-wife, Nicole Shanahan ($1.4bn).
In total, those on the list are worth a record $20.1trn, an increase of $4trn since last year as the wealth of the world's richest people continues to grow.
Last year's list featured 3,028 billionaires.
The number of people with fortunes of more than $100bn climbed to 20, up from 15 a year ago.
Forbes also estimated that crypto baron Changpeng Zhao, known as CZ, is now richer than Microsoft founder Bill Gates, with a fortune of $110bn.
The six richest people on the billionaires list are all Americans, with Amazon founder Jeff Bezos ($224bn), Meta chief executive Mark Zuckerberg ($222bn) and Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison ($190bn) also ranking highly.
French luxury goods titan Bernard Arnault and his family ranked seventh, with an estimated wealth of $171bn.
The top ten richest billionaires also included Nvidia founder Jensen Huang ($154bn), investor Warren Buffett ($149bn) and Spanish fashion mogul Amancio Ortega ($148bn).
Only a handful of Britons feature lower down in the rankings, including hedge fund manager Michael Platt. He is 120 on the list with an estimated net worth of $20bn.
Mr Musk also saw the biggest dollar gain, adding $497bn to his wealth.
Meanwhile, Lei Jun, the founder of Chinese electronics company Xiaomi, lost the most, with his wealth falling by $15.6bn.
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The average net wealth of the world's richest billionaires was also higher at $5.8bn on average, up from $5.3bn last year.
This year also saw 89 people fall off the list, including entrepreneur and NASA head Jared Isaacman and real estate developer Charles Cohen.
While men have traditionally dominated the list, 122 self-made women are included this year, with a net worth of $462bn.
The world's youngest billionaire is 20-year-old heiress Amelie Voigt Trejes, a Brazilian whose grandfather founded the industrial machinery firm WEG, who is worth an estimated $1.1bn.
The co-founder of AI hiring start-up Mercor, Surya Midha, is the youngest self-made billionaire at 22.
The American is one of 12 self-made billionaires under the age of 30 on the list.
Cherish Bean, 15, and Ethan Slater, 17, died in a cabin at Little Eden Holiday Park in Bridlington on the Yorkshire coast last month.
Four people who are "associated with the management and maintenance" of the holiday park have been arrested on suspicion of gross negligence manslaughter before being interviewed and bailed, police said.
An inquest into the couple's deaths heard on Tuesday that the teenagers had been on a family holiday and were "fit and well" when they went to bed on 17 February.
After spending the evening together as a family, Cherish retired to a smaller cabin, known as the "Mancave", where she stayed with Ethan, at about 9pm to watch television.
Cherish returned to the main cabin saying that she had a headache and took some Calpol because the family had no paracetamol, the inquest at Hull Coroner's Court heard.
She went back to the smaller cabin and texted her mother after 10pm to say goodnight and that she loved her, senior coroner Paul Marks said.
He added that Ethan went back to the cabin at a similar time.
Humberside Police detective chief inspector Ben Robinson told the inquest there was reason to believe the couple's deaths were "associated with carbon monoxide poisoning".
DCI Robinson said the official medical cause of death was still pending the forensic pathologist's examination.
He added the boiler from the cabin had been recovered and a forensic evaluation had been carried out, supported by specialist gas engineers.
The Health and Safety Executive and the National Crime Agency had also been consulted, DCI Robinson said.
Professor Marks adjourned the inquest until after the conclusion of the police investigation.
"I would like, once again, to extend my condolences to both the families of these young people," he said.
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In a tribute to her daughter released last month by police, Cherish's mother said: "My girl, my world, my love, my everything.
"My perfect girl, my angel, has left this world and we are broken as a family. I am broken as a mother, and I will never ever be the same again.
"If you know me, I live and breathe my babies, and we were away for a few nights making the best memories ever. We have had the best life together and it has been ripped from under us.
"There are no words, I am shattered and will never recover. Hug your children tonight you do not know how lucky you are.
"Ethan, bless you darling, such a good boy with a kind heart and I loved you like my own."
Also paying tribute, Ethan's mother said: "Ethan was the most beautiful young man to walk the earth. He was generous, loving, charming and kind.
"He would help anyone and was a strong family man. He took care of himself and loved his mum, stepdad, brothers and sister.
"There's not one person who would dislike him even if they tried. His smile was contagious, and he could light up any room he walked into.
"Ethan, you will always be remembered for the amazing young man you were, and the one you were destined to be. We hope you know how loved you are our boy, rest well and keep the table warm for us up there.
"Cherish was the apple of Ethan's eye, everyone could see how smitten they both were. She was beautiful, elegant, and made Ethan happy. We know you will keep each other young and safe.
"Look after each other. Rest in peace."
Crowdfunding website GoFundMe said "dozens" of appeals had been launched for firms affected by the blaze, which broke out in Union Street on Sunday.
One business which lost its premises in the blaze, Lucky in Love Tattoos, had more than £21,000 raised for it.
Meanwhile, First Minister John Swinney told MSPs in Holyrood on Tuesday: "We will rebuild, we will restore, and Glasgow will flourish again".
He added: "Above all else, let me be clear today: the Scottish government will stand with the city of Glasgow as it recovers from the fire.
"Given the significant cost the city faces, we will back those costs with cash.
"To get that work started, a ministerial oversight board has been established, chaired by the cabinet secretary for justice."
Another tattoo parlour destroyed in the fire, Hundred Demons, has also received donations of more than £18,000.
Wig Chapel studio, which also had its premises destroyed, has attracted more than £15,000 in donations.
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The owner of Willow Hair Salon, another affected business, posted on social media on Monday: "Goodbye to our beautiful old building.
"I'm left totally heartbroken this morning from the loss of our salon. The secrets these walls heard, all the gossip, the good news and the bad."
She added: "Recently, I had been talking about moving salons, but never in a million years did I think Willow would be shut down this way.
"Thank you to every one of you who helped build my business and who have reached out to check on us and offer your help."




