The Duke of Sussex was intending to travel with Meghan and their children, Archie and Lilibet, at the start of July.

It's been four years since the children last saw their grandfather in person and the King has offered to put the family up at an unnamed royal residence.

Harry is set to attend an event in Birmingham marking a year to go to the Invictus Games, the event he set up for injured military personnel, as well as visiting some charities he supports.

However, it's reported his request for taxpayer-funded police protection has recently been denied.

A source said the Duke of Sussex could now leave his family at home as he fears for their safety.

"[The duke] is looking at every option to try and get the family here safely and keep them safe when they're on the ground," the source told Sky News.

They added: "If he can find a way to do that he will. The hope is they can meet their grandfather, but there is no way that can happen if they are chased by paparazzi wherever they go from the moment they step off the plane.

"He won't put his children through that."

The duke last year lost a legal battle with the government over his level of security in the UK after it was downgraded when he stepped down as a working royal and moved to the US in 2020.

But at Harry's request, the Home Office body that decides on protection matters (Ravec) began reviewing his case.

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Archie and Lilibet last saw the King at the late Queen's platinum jubilee celebrations in 2022 - and sources stress the monarch is not involved in decisions on his son's security.

A government spokesperson said: "The UK government's protective security system is rigorous and proportionate.

"It is our long-standing policy not to provide detailed information on those arrangements, as doing so could compromise their integrity and affect individuals' security."

Officers were called around 6.30pm on Saturday to reports of a 15-year-old boy getting into difficulty.

A body was located near Cowbury Reservoir later that evening and was recovered by "specialist partners".

Formal identification has taken place and his family have been made aware.

Detectives from Tameside CID are confident that there are not any suspicious circumstances, and a file is being prepared for the coroner.

Police have reminded the public to "avoid being tempted to cool off in reservoirs, rivers, canals or ponds".

Chief Inspector Helen Baxter said: "Yesterday's events are nothing short of devastating and my thoughts are with the family and loved ones of the young boy who sadly lost his life in such awful circumstances.

"We are confident that there are no suspicious circumstances and that this is such a sad reminder of the dangers of entering open water.

"We remind the public to please avoid being tempted to cool off in reservoirs, rivers, canals or ponds.

"We all want to enjoy the warm weather; please make sure you do so in a safe way."

Seven people have now died in water-related incidents during this week's heatwave.

The body of a 22-year-old man was recovered from the River Severn in Shrewsbury, Shropshire, on Saturday morning, West Mercia Police said.

Also on Saturday, Hampshire Police said officers searching for a 15-year-old boy who was last seen in the water at Testwood Lakes near Southampton found a body.

Essex Police confirmed the death of a 69-year-old man in Clacton. Officers were called to a medical emergency in Marine Parade East just after 11am on Friday after reports of a man in difficulty in the sea.

A 50-year-old man was pronounced dead on Wednesday afternoon at Aberavon beach on the south coast of Wales.

Also, police said they had recovered the body of a teenage boy from a lake in Syston, Leicestershire, after he went into the water on Thursday.

And a 50-year-old man was pronounced dead on Wednesday afternoon at Aberavon beach on the south coast of Wales.

Read more from Sky News:
Harry 'reconsidering bringing family on UK trip' over security concerns

The record for the hottest June day was broken over three successive days this week on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday.

The highest temperature was 37.3C that was recorded in Santon Downham, Suffolk, on Friday.

Saturday saw a high of 32.3C in the same location.

The last Met Office warning for extreme heat finished at 9am on Sunday as the heatwave comes to a close.

But what chance do those left have of winning the trophy?

Sports analytics firm Opta made England their third favourites heading into the tournament, using their "Supercomputer" model that estimates the predicted outcome of each match based on historical and recent performances by each team.

They briefly jumped up to second after beating Croatia in their first game. But they have since dropped back to fourth after unconvincing performances against Ghana and Panama and good results for some of their opponents.

Which players have performed best?

Harry Kane has been one of the best players in the world this season. Only France's Michael Olise was ranked higher than him in 2026, according to the Sky Sports Power Rankings.

Jude Bellingham has been England's best performer so far at this tournament, however. He has been the 12th best performer at the World Cup overall.

Scotland's Scott McTominay was also among the world's best performing players this season, but struggled to live up to expectations at this tournament. He was only Scotland's fifth highest rated player, and outside the top 400 overall.

Midfielder Lewis Ferguson who, like McTominay, plays his club football in Italy, was the Tartan Army's best player according to the Power Rankings.

The biggest World Cup ever

FIFA expanded the number of teams at this World Cup from 32 to 48. It means 72 matches have been played before the knockouts have even started. In a "traditional" World Cup format, there would be 64 games in total.

Africa benefitted most by the expansion. Their allocation of teams doubled from five to 10, meaning countries like Cape Verde and the Democratic Republic of Congo were able to qualify for the first time, although there was still no space for traditional heavyweights Nigeria or Cameroon.

The new places appear to have been justified by results, however.

Seven of the 10 African teams remain after the group stage, compared with just two of the 10 teams that qualified from Asia and Oceania combined.

Scotland were one of just three European teams to be eliminated, out of the 16 that qualified. Two-time winners Uruguay were the only South American team not to make it through to the knockouts.

What do fans think?

Supercomputers are one way of assessing teams' chances - psychic octopuses are another, but sometimes it's best to trust the wisdom of the crowd.

England's percentage chance of winning implied by the betting odds was 12.5% when the tournament started. That's equivalent to a one in eight chance - slightly better than that offered by the supercomputer.

It's the same odds as England's "Golden Generation" were given in 2006, when Sir David Beckham led a team to Germany that included four future England captains - Wayne Rooney, Steven Gerrard, John Terry and Rio Ferdinand.

Only the 2010 side had a better chance of winning when the tournament started, according to the bookies.

We will talk about how England have performed against those expectations later on..

As for Scotland, the bookies had them at a 250/1 shot at the start, after being drawn in a group with five-time winners Brazil and African champions Morocco.

That effectively means they were given them a 0.4% chance of winning the tournament.

Every other team representing a UK nation at a World Cup since 1982 has been rated higher at the start of the tournament.

Living up to expectations

So, according to both the bookies and the experts, England's chances look fairly good. But expectations are one thing, and living up to them is another.

It's fair to say that England have not always done that.

In fact, there have only been two occasions in the last 12 World Cups where England improved on what was expected pre-tournament - Sir Gareth Southgate's first effort in 2018, and Sir Bobby Robson's swansong at Italia '90.

While England have rarely managed to perform better than expected, the eventual winners have tended to come from teams that were higher ranked anyway.

Only on two occasions since 1982 has a team with worse pre-tournament odds than England gone on to win the trophy.

On both of those occasions, Italy were the team coming from behind to win - in Spain in 1982 and in Germany in 2006, after Zinedine Zidane’s famous headbutt in the final.

That history will not be repeated this year at least, as Italy failed to qualify.

Software engineering by Jesse Okuji.

The Data and Forensics team is a multi-skilled unit dedicated to providing transparent journalism from Sky News. We gather, analyse and visualise data to tell data-driven stories. We combine traditional reporting skills with advanced analysis of satellite images, social media and other open source information. Through multimedia storytelling we aim to better explain the world while also showing how our journalism is done.

His predecessor, John Healey, stood down earlier this month in protest of the overdue defence investment plan (DIP).

The extra £13.5bn of investment expected with it fell "well short" of what was needed, Mr Healey said.

Mr Jarvis has spent the last two weeks "refocusing" the defence blueprint - expected to be published before July's NATO Summit - to prioritise getting kit to troops on the front line, officials said.

The UK's elite commandos have been promised £500m for rapid boats and strike drones as part of changes, with a focus on Arctic region - amid anxiety about Russian activity in the region.

In the 2024/25 financial year, the UK spent £60.2bn on defence.

The new high-speed commando insertion craft - special vessels used to covertly transport troops from the rapid-response force - will be used for such operations as the seizing of Russian shadow fleet tankers.

Earlier in June commandos were involved in taking over a Russian oil tanker in the Channel in the first operation of its kind.

Mr Jarvis said: "We're investing in new lethal strike drones, high-speed boats and amphibious transport ships to give our commandos the equipment they need to stay ahead of adversaries and defend us.

"The defence investment plan will prioritise getting the latest kit into the hands of our frontline forces, so they can continue their vital work in an increasingly dangerous world."

The plan, originally due last year, has been delayed by government wrangling over the budget.

Announcing the "shifted" focus, the Ministry of Defence said the DIP will see the UK work with NATO ally Norway in the High North.

Outgoing Prime Minister Keir Starmer has vowed to publish the DIP before the NATO summit on 7 July in Turkey, despite most major policy and spending commitments being paused until his successor is confirmed.

But defence chiefs will want to ensure the plan has the backing of the new PM, widely expected to be Andy Burnham, who recently became an MP again after the Makerfield by-election.

Five people were injured, with two being treated at the scene and three taken to hospital after the incident in Ealing Broadway, west London, just before 2.30pm on Saturday.

A Metropolitan Police spokesperson said: "At this time, it is believed they have all suffered non-life-threatening or life-changing injuries.

"The car involved did not stop at the scene but was stopped in nearby Grange Park a short time later. The driver, a 34-year-old Somalia-born British man, was arrested on suspicion of dangerous driving and attempted murder.

"Due to the nature of the incident, local officers were in contact with officers from Counter Terrorism Policing London as they conducted their initial enquiries. While investigators are keeping an open mind as to any potential motive, the incident is not being treated as terrorism.

"Road closures are in place in the area and could remain in place for some time while the police investigation progresses."

The force asked anyone with relevant information or footage to contact the police on 101, providing the reference 4607/27JUN.

A London Ambulance Service spokesperson said it dispatched "a number of resources including ambulance crews, paramedics in fast response cars, a volunteer emergency responder crew and an incident response officer to the scene."

It also sent London's Air Ambulance.